Friday, January 09, 2009

Here's the Problem with the Minnesota Senate race

For those of you not in the US of A, or perhaps just not in Minnesota, you may not have heard this.  After the November election, the Minnesota Senate Seat (and any senate Seat is pretty powerful) was in a recount.
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Worse for the poor folks from Minnesota, it was a recount between Al Franken - a liberal and an ex-Saturday Night Live funny man, and Norm Coleman - a first term Republican who was swept into power in 2002 in a bizarre mix of George W. Bush post-9/11 love and the unexpected death of his opponent (no funny business here it was just an odd convergence of happenstance).
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So there have been counts and recounts and lawsuits and lawsuits and still no Senator sitting to represent Minnesota.
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The problem, honestly.  It was a tie.  Out of some 6 million votes, the winning margin is less than 300 in either case.  Here is the problem.  That is a like 0.005% difference.  It is a statistical error of tiny proportions.  Any human count or machine count is going to be less that 99.995% accurate.
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But Minnesota (like most states) doesn't have a "what do we do in a statistical tie" rule.  It may or may not have a "what do we do in case of a tie", but with 6 million+ votes, you will have a different outcome every time, and almost never a tie.
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So the race, like all too many things in America, is reduced to a set of lawsuits that will cost the state money and deliver no better answer than flipping a coin.
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sigh
BUT if you want a roll on the floor hilarious update, then watch the "Red State Update" below.  I particularly like the question, "We can block a Senator from coming in?  Can we block them all?"  and his explanation of why Caroline Kennedy is a fine pick for Senator "and Number two: She's a Kennedy and she ain't never raped nobody, OD'ed or skidded on the ice and killed someone, hell that's qualification in my book..."
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